Tropical Storm Nicole Weather Update

Tropical Storm Nicole to Strengthen Tuesday and Wednesday

This update straight from the National Weather Service


A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for Eastern Clay, Eastern Putnam, Inland St. Johns, South Central Duval, and Trout River – A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for Coastal Camden, Coastal Duval, Coastal Flagler, Coastal Glynn, Coastal Nassau, and Coastal St. Johns – A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Inland Flagler


About 710 miles east-southeast of Jacksonville FL or about 720 miles east-southeast of Brunswick GA – 26.6N 70.6W – Storm Intensity 45 mph – Movement Northwest or 310 degrees at 9 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW —————— Subtropical Storm Nicole is expected to bring widespread impacts with prolonged coastal flooding, tropical-storm-force winds, heavy rainfall, rough surf, and rip currents. Nicole is expected to reach Hurricane strength as it crosses through the Bahamas and on towards the south central Florida peninsula. The current track has Nicole moving across central Florida, briefly into the Gulf of Mexico, and then turning north and moving over northern Florida before racing to the northeast on Friday into the weekend. Localized flash flooding risk on Thursday and Friday, mainly impacting coastal areas and along the St Johns River. POTENTIAL IMPACTS —————–


Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant impacts across coastal northeast Florida and southeast Georgia and the St Johns River down to Palatka. Potential impacts in this area include: – Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast. – Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low spots. – Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and numerous rip currents. – Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected anchorages. Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across the St. Johns south of Palatka.


Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia. Potential impacts include: – Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. – Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. – A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. – Scattered power and communications outages.


Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible limited impacts across coastal northeast Florida and the St. Johns River basin. Potential impacts include: – Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations. – Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen and overflow in spots. – Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge closures.


Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across coastal northeast Florida. Potential impacts include: – The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. – A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. – Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. Elsewhere across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia, little to no impact is anticipated. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS

Recommended Actions:


Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately. For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind, falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move, relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep roadways open for those under evacuation order


Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your home or business. When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of the storm. If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter. If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of others. When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness activities to become unsafe. There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly.


For information on appropriate preparations see – For information on creating an emergency plan see – For additional disaster preparedness information see

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